Friday, July 20, 2007

Robb, Please Tell the Whole Story...

Our good friend Robert Robb at the Arizona Republic latest column is about the economic impact of immigrants and undocumented workers. The reason I bring this up is not as much about immigration as it is the incorrect use of statistics. I have a problem with cherry picking data and brushing aside flaws to make an argument.

He makes a rather simplistic assessment full assertions to strengthen his argument, but makes no effort to backup anything with facts. He says:


I understand that the Udall study will be revised to increase the calculated tax contribution from illegal immigrants, but an argument can be made that the current figure is already overstated. It includes not only taxes paid directly by illegal residents but also the taxes paid by others supposedly as a result of their economic activities.

Additionally, education expenses are substantially understated.


Ok, great point, but where is the factual basis?

My other big problem beyond the assertions, is that the review is simplistic. The economics are much more complex than inputs and outputs for government services. In the end, immigrant labor amounts to a subsidy to those who benefit. Housing construction is less expensive, fruits and vegetables are cheaper to produce and so on. You cannot measure the impact of immigration without assessing its true economic impact.

What we are doing is transferring money from government coffers (greater use of government services by immigrants) and from the workers (in the form of depressed wages) to the profit margins of the companies (who use immigrant labor) and into the pockets of everyone who benefits from lower prices. What is bad about the system is that the benefits are unevenly distributed as are the costs. The system is great if you are building a new house or own a landscaping company, but really crappy if you are an unskilled laborer. I am not making a value judgement about immigration or immigrants just trying to state the reality.

As to the overall impact of immigrant labor, I think it is safe to say that we would survive without it. I would probably survive a gun shot to the shoulder or leg, but I prefer to not experience it. Furthermore, it is always easy to dismiss the pain involved with a policy that does not really affect you. How would you transition business dependant on the labor? What about landlords renting to the people you would deport? Would you deport someone with a child that is a US citizen? How about a husband and wife where one is a citizen and the other is not? What if you have a mixed marriage with a citizen and non-citizen with children who are citizens and the non-citizen is the primary bread winner for the family?

Can we get to point where we agree that immigration is not black and white, but many shades of grey?

No comments: