Friday, March 07, 2008

Untenable

The latest news is that Michigan is likely to have a caucus for their do over election. The Clinton campaign says they will not accept a caucus (maybe in protest she should leave her name off the ballot. We can then allow people to vote for Obama and uncommitted and decide the winner that way :)). That leaves us with a dilemma.

Having a primary in Florida is estimated to cost between $14 to $18 million and I have heard anywhere from $8 to $12 million in Michigan. The only way we end this contest fairly and without taint is to have real contests in those states. This has to be resolved for the good of the party. Who will pay? The campaigns cannot afford it. The DNC cannot afford it.

I am personally agnostic about whether we have a caucus or primary. I think the nominee has to be able to win no matter the circumstances. The whining from the Clinton side about caucuses is farcical.

So where does that leave us? Unfortunately, I fear that the Clintons would prefer to not resolve this unless it means they get all of the delegates. This means they do not want a do over whether it is a caucus or primary. Even if there is a do-over, I expect that if Obama wins Michigan (which is more likely than Florida) that they will call the win illegitimate even if it is a primary.

If my friends on Clinton side cannot admit that the elections were illegitimate then they are being dishonest and petty. I can certainly admit that not seating delegations from the two states is wrong. I can also admit that it was not the fault of Florida Democrats that their Republican legislature moved their primary. So, what is the solution? (here is a hint it will never be acceptable to seat the delegations and give Hillary all of the delegates).

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