How does Arizona Become an Important Primary State

I would argue that Arizona is a particularly good primary state. Of course, I am arguing on the merits of demographics of the state and the fact that we will likely be a swing state and not our state's clout with the national party (I am looking at you Nevada). Arizona is a good microcosm for the country. We have a sizable Latino population, fast growing urban areas, a lot of rural areas with more conservative Dems, a large elderly population, in short our demographics reflect the US at large.

Here is an article about the Gov trying to decide when to schedule our primary. Janet is smart and I know she will do her best to make our state count.

Presidential Primary Calendar, maybe a different scenerio?

So, everyone is grousing about the new primary setup . I have read the complaints in so many places that I cannot count them all. The operating theory is that we will have a few early primaries, then the big one and everything will be over after that... Really? I can see a distinctly different scenario as a possibility.

I have worked on enough campaigns to know how they are thinking right now. It is not rocket science to think that the top-tier and second-tier will start sifting through polling and look at their fundraising numbers and start choosing targets. I am not sure that Clinton or Obama with their vast sums of money can compete in a nation-wide primary.

Here is the possibility that I see. Imagine Edwards continues his current path and goes after Iowa, Nevada and South Carolina (wins 2 or 3). Obama goes after 5 or 6 states (wins say 4). Hillary competes everywhere and comes in second a lot (she still gets delegates in second) and leads the delegate count. I would not be surprised if Richardson won a couple... This could break out many ways, but over in a day is not the only one.

Conventional wisdom is politics is a funny thing, it is always right, well until it isn't...